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Dynamic prediction of the NOx concentration at SCR system outlet based on MIC-CFS-LSTM model

2023 No. 06
394
254
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Authors:
WU Kangluo
HUANG Jun
LI Zhenghui
RUAN Bin
LUO Sheng
LU Zhimin
YAO Shunchun
Unit:
School of Power,South China University of Technology
Guangzhou Zhujiang Electric PowerCo.,Ltd.,
School of Automation Science and Engineering,South China University of Technology
Abstract:

Aiming to improve the prediction accuracy of the concentration of nitrogen oxides (NOx) in the flue gas at the outlet of selective catalytic reduction (SCR) system for coal-fired power plants, a prediction model method based on the maximum information coefficient (MIC) and long-short term memory (LSTM) neural network was proposed. Firstly, MIC was used to estimate the delay time between various input parameters and the recorded NOx concentration, and the data were reconstructed according to the estimated delay time. Then the MIC value of the reconstructed data was used as an index to evaluate the correlation between input variables and output variables, and the correlation-based feature selection (CFS) algorithm was used to select the input variables. Finally, based on the data after time delay reconstruction and variable selection, the dynamic prediction model of NOx concentration at SCR outlet was established using LSTM neural network. The model was used to analyze the recorded operation data of a 320 MW coal-fired unit in Guangdong. The results show that the LSTM prediction model established after time delay reconstruction and variable selection has high accuracy, superior to deep neural networks (DNN) model and radial basis function (RBF) model, with the mean absolute percentage error of 2.58% and the root mean square error of 2.02, which can meet the requirements of field application. 

Keywords:
SCR
NOx concentration prediction
time delay analysis
variable selection
maximal information coefficient
long-short term memory network
Citation format:
吴康洛(1993—),男,河南新乡人,硕士研究生。E-mail:965724095@qq.com
通讯作者:姚顺春(1983—),男,浙江龙游人,教授,博士生导师,博士。E-mail:epscyao@scut.edu.cn
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Citation format:
WU Kangluo,HUANG Jun,LI Zhenghui,et al.Dynamic prediction of the NOx concentration at SCR system outlet based on MIC-CFS-LSTM model[J].Clean Coal Technology,2023,29(6):142-150.

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    XIE Qiang

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    YU Chang
    SHI Yixiang
    ZHAO Yongchun
    DUAN Linbo
    CAO Jingpei
    ZENG Jie

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