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Comprehensive assessment of development path of carbon capture technology based on AHP-TOPSIS method

2023 No. 01
712
264
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Authors:
LIU Shuang
SONG Xuehang
SHANG Li
WANG Baodeng
SHEN Qun
XIONG Rihua
SUN Nannan
WEI Wei
Unit:
Shanghai Advanced Research Institute,Chinese Academy of Sciences;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences;National Institute of Clean-and-Low-Carbon Energy,CHN Energy
Abstract:

Carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) offers an important option to achieve carbon neutrality, however, cost-ineffectiveness hinders the widespread application of CCUS. Among the technical chain of CCUS, carbon capture is the major contributor to the entire cost of CCUS. Recently, the development and demonstration of various carbon capture technologies have received extensive attention, but their overall maturity is still low, and future development path is still unclear. Based on the analytic hierarchy process and technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution, a set of new methodology was established for the evaluation of carbon capture technology, and several typical carbon capture technologies were comprehensively analyzed from aspects including technology, low carbon, economics and safety. It is found that the deployment of carbon capture technology is mainly affected by their low carbon features at the present stage, and the composite amine absorption method possesses the greatest potential at present. However, with the continuous adjustment of energy and industrial structure in the future, the application scenarios of various carbon capture technologies and the factors affecting their deployment potential will change, and the economic features will become the key to determine the market penetration rate. Therefore, it is expected that pressure swing adsorption, composite amine absorption, and calcium looping will play a relatively important role in the future. By combining quantitative analysis with expert opinions, the evaluation results of this paper may provide scientific and objective guidance to the research and application of carbon capture technologies.

Keywords:
carbon neutrality
carbon capture
analytic hierarchy process
comprehensive evaluation
Citation format:
刘双(1999—),女,天津人,硕士研究生。E-mail-liushuang@sari.ac.cn
通讯作者:孙楠楠(1983—),男,河南南阳人,研究员,博士生导师,博士。E-mail:sunnn@sari.ac.cn
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