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Development of CCUS source-sink matching model for Yangtze River Deltaunder multiple uncertainties

2024 No. 10
172
63
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Authors:
LI Jizhe
FAN Jingli
LI Kai
WANG Yaxian
WANG Zhi
ZHANG Xian
Unit:
Department of Earth System Science
The Administrative Center for China’s Agenda 21
School of Energy and Mining Engineering
Abstract:

Under carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals,the Yangtze River Delta region faces emission reduction pressures. Deploymentof Carbon Capture,Utilization,and Storage (CCUS) projects are crucial for ensuring energy security in the Yangtze River Delta regionand achieving the net-zero ambition. CCUS projects faces multiple uncertainties. However,most of the previous research were focused onCCUS source-sink matching with mixed-integer linear programming method. Changes of emission sources,development of technologiesand policies were ignored. This may lead to the deviations between the planning results and real-world case. Therefore,a CCUS source-sink matching model was developed based on interval fuzzy chance-constrained programming methods under uncertainties. A YangtzeRiver Delta case study will be applied to explore risk management and policy-making decisions. Results show that,for Yangtze River Deltaregion,the total cost of CCUS projects will be higher than that of deterministic models; when the constraint-violation probability forreduction demands is 40%,the total cost of CCUS projects is the lowest,38.5% of plants have a levelized cost of emission reduction below30 $/t CO2,and the total mitigation potential will be 5.69 Gt CO2. Hence,exploring CCUS source-sink matching deployment plans under multiple uncertainties is critical for exploring the tradeoff of risks and benefits.

Keywords:
carbon capture utilization and storage(CCUS)
Yangtze River Delta region
fuzzy chance constraint
source-sink matching
layout
risk management
Citation format:
李吉喆(1992—),女,山东临沂人,助理研究员。E-mail:kxlijizhe@126.com
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Citation format:
LI Jizhe, FAN Jingli, LI Kai, et al. Development of CCUS source-sink matching model for Yangtze River Delta under multiple uncertainties[J].Clean Coal Technology,2024,30(10):129−138.

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