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    基于不同场景模式的煤电绿氨掺烧发电的经济性分析

    Economic analysis of coal-coupled hydrogen-ammonia power generation technology based on different scenario models

    • 摘要: “双碳”背景下,煤电绿氨掺烧发展正成为能源转型的新趋势。煤电绿氨掺烧是利用风电、太阳能发电等可再生能源富余电力电解水制绿氢并合成的绿氨,实施燃煤机组掺烧发电,替代部分燃煤。煤电绿氨掺烧能够弥补风电、光伏发电的不稳定性和间歇性,且使得大规模的煤电设施能够延续使用,在向清洁能源转型过程中保障电力的安全与稳定供应。但是,目前煤电绿氨掺烧产业成本较高,经济效益难以满足要求。因此,基于不同场景模式下对煤电绿氨掺烧进行经济性分析。首先,综述了煤电绿氨掺烧的发展现状,并对煤电绿氨掺烧成本效益的影响因素进行分析;其次,通过构建不同典型场景对煤电绿氨掺烧进行经济性分析;最后,对产业的各阶段可持续发展提供了合理的建议。

       

      Abstract: Under the background of "carbon peaking and carbon neutrality",the development of coal-power green ammonia blending is becoming a new trend in energy transformation. Coal and power green ammonia blending is the use of wind power, solar power and other renewable energy surplus power electrolysis of water to produce green hydrogen and synthesised green ammonia, the implementation of coal-fired units blending power generation, replacing part of the coal-fired. Coal-power green ammonia blending can make up for the instability and intermittency of wind power, photovoltaic power generation, and make large-scale coal-power facilities can continue to use, in the process of transition to clean energy to ensure the safety and stable supply of electricity. However, the current coal power green ammonia blending industry costs are high, and the economic benefits are difficult to meet the requirements. Therefore, this paper analyses the economics of coal-power green ammonia blending based on different scenario modes. Firstly, it reviews the development status of coal-power green ammonia blending and analyses the influencing factors of the cost-effectiveness of coal-power green ammonia blending; secondly, it analyses the economy of coal-power green ammonia blending by constructing different typical scenarios; and lastly, it provides reasonable suggestions for the sustainable development of the industry in various stages.

       

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